Spieltheorie extensive Form erstellen |
| 15.12.2014, 20:53 | eichenbaum | Auf diesen Beitrag antworten » |
| Spieltheorie extensive Form erstellen "Two Generals, A and B, whose armies are fortified in opposite hills have to decide whether to attack the enemy camped in a valley separating them. For the attack to be successful, General A must receive reinforcements. The arrival of these reinforcements on time has a prior probability of 1/2 and depends on wheather conditions not observed by the generals. They have reached agreement that if A receives the reinforcements he will send an emissary to B. They both know however, that in this case the emissary has only probability 1/3 of being able to cross enemy lines. The payoffs evaluated as follows: in case of victory: 50 for each general if they both refrain from attackin: 0 for each if one general attacks and the other does not: -50 for the former, -10 for the latter if both attack but are defeated (because A has not received the reinforcements): -40 for each Represent the game described in extensive form!" Soo ich habe wenig PLan, zunächst denke ich dass Nature als erster Spieler dran kommt mit r und nr: also reinforcements oder no reinforcements. Dann schickt für mich A emissary im Fall r mit behavioral strategies 1/3 , nicht mit 2/3 dann entscheidet er: attack oder nicht, dann General B, aber wie schauen dies Payoffs aus, INformationsmenge etc? Viele grüße! |
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